Simulation for Betting on Over or Under Goals Based on Occurrences

Strategy ID: 4

💡 Strategy

This strategy shows the results of betting on the full-time over/under goals market by analyzing how often overs or unders occurred for each team in their recent games. You can try out different settings to see how your bets would work on real games without spending any money. It's a quick and risk-free way to check if your strategy can make a profit!

💥 How to request a simulation run?

To request a simulation run, send us an email at: [email protected] with the settings that you want to test (see the Examples section below).

Make sure to send your request in the right format so our system can understand it and our team can handle it quickly. Use the templates in the Examples section and adjust them to run the simulation you want.

Keep in mind this email is only checked by our software. So, only include the details for your simulation request—don’t add extra text or questions, as no one from our team will see them.

If you have questions, email us at [email protected].

After you send your simulation request, we’ll process it and email you a PDF with your results within 24 hours!

🚀 Examples

Here are some examples of simulation requests. To learn more about each setting and the valid options you can use, check out the next section, Request Settings, where everything is explained clearly.

Example 1: Place a bet on Over 2.5 Goals in each match where all the following conditions are met:

• The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are between 1.5 (1/2) and 1.8 (4/5).

• In the last 6 games (including home and away), both teams must have had at least 4 of their games end with Over 2.5 Goals.

  For example, in a match between Man City and Chelsea:

  • Man City had 5 of their last 6 games end with Over 2.5 Goals.

  • Chelsea had 4 of their last 6 games end with Over 2.5 Goals.

  Since both teams meet the condition of at least 4 occurrences, we would place a bet on Over 2.5 Goals for this game.

• Start the simulation from Round 7 (to make sure there is enough data to calculate how often games with Over 2.5 Goals occurred for both teams).

• This test uses data from the 21/22 season of the English Premier League.

<league_id>E0</league_id>
<strategy_id>4</strategy_id>
<season>21/22</season>
<selection>over_25</selection>
<min_odds>1.5</min_odds>
<max_odds>1.8</max_odds>
<start_round>7</start_round>
<end_round>38</end_round>
<last_n>6</last_n>
<last_n_all_games_checked>true</last_n_all_games_checked>
<occurrences>4</occurrences>

Example 2: Place a bet on Under 2.5 Goals in each match where all the following conditions are met:

• The odds for Under 2.5 Goals are between 1.5 (1/2) and 1.8 (4/5).

• In the last 6 games (including home and away), both teams must have had at least 4 of their games end with Under 2.5 Goals.

  For example, in a match between Torino and Genoa:

  • Torino had 5 of their last 6 games end with Under 2.5 Goals.

  • Genoa had 4 of their last 6 games end with Under 2.5 Goals.

  Since both teams meet the condition of at least 4 occurrences, we would place a bet on Under 2.5 Goals for this game.

• Start the simulation from Round 7 (to make sure there is enough data to calculate how often games with Under 2.5 Goals occurred for both teams).

• This test uses data from the 21/22 season of the Italian Serie A.

<league_id>I1</league_id>
<strategy_id>4</strategy_id>
<season>21/22</season>
<selection>under_25</selection>
<min_odds>1.5</min_odds>
<max_odds>1.8</max_odds>
<start_round>7</start_round>
<end_round>38</end_round>
<last_n>6</last_n>
<last_n_all_games_checked>true</last_n_all_games_checked>
<occurrences>4</occurrences>

Example 3: Place a bet on Over 1.5 Goals in each match where all the following conditions are met:

• The odds for Over 1.5 Goals are between 1.2 (1/5) and 1.5 (1/2).

• In the last 6 games, we calculate the occurrences of games with Over 1.5 Goals separately for each team based on their location (as last_n_all_games_checked is set to false):

  • For the home team, we only consider their last 6 home games, ignoring their away games.

  • For the away team, we only consider their last 6 away games, ignoring their home games.

  If both teams have had at least 4 of their recent games end with Over 1.5 Goals, the condition is met.

  For example, in a match between Man City and Chelsea:

  • Man City has had 5 of their last 6 home games end with Over 1.5 Goals.

  • Chelsea has had 4 of their last 6 away games end with Over 1.5 Goals.

  Since both teams meet the condition, we would place a bet on Over 1.5 Goals for this game.

• Start the simulation from Round 12 (to make sure there is enough data to calculate how often games with Over 1.5 Goals occurred for both teams).

• This test uses data from the 22/23 season of the English Premier League.

<league_id>E0</league_id>
<strategy_id>4</strategy_id>
<season>21/22</season>
<selection>over_15</selection>
<min_odds>1.2</min_odds>
<max_odds>1.5</max_odds>
<start_round>12</start_round>
<end_round>38</end_round>
<last_n>6</last_n>
<last_n_all_games_checked>false</last_n_all_games_checked>
<occurrences>4</occurrences>

⭐️ Request Settings

The fields with * are required, the others are optional and if not specified will use their default values.