Bet on draws in the Italian Serie A

What if we bet on draws where the two teams have (almost) equal points?

Hey Friend,

Are you excited for our new football betting strategy this week? Take a look below!

💡 Strategy

This strategy is easy to follow. We bet on draws in the Italian Serie A.

Here's how it works:

  1. Check Team Points: For each game, look at the ranking and points of both teams.

  2. Difference of less than or equal to 1: If the home team and away team are within 1 point of each other, place a single bet with the amount you want.

  3. Start from Round 6: Only use this strategy from Round 7 onward, as earlier rounds have teams with very close points.

Example from Round 7 of the 2023-24 Serie A Season:

  • Atalanta vs. Juventus: After Round 6, Atalanta has 12 points and Juventus has 13 points. The 1-point difference fits our rule of teams being no more than 1 point apart, so we place a bet on a draw.

  • Lecce vs. SSC Napoli: After Round 6, Lecce has 11 points and SSC Napoli also has 11 points. The point difference between the two teams is 0, which fits our rule of teams being no more than 1 point apart, so we place a bet on a draw.

  • AC Milan vs. Lazio: After Round 6, AC Milan has 15 points and Lazio has 7 points. The difference is 8. The difference in points is too big (more than 1), so we don’t bet on this game.

📈 Stats

According to the stats, about 30% of the games in the Italian Serie A end in a draw:

Serie A Draws

This means that betting on draws in the Serie A might give a chance for success if we manage to filter most of the games that do not end in a draw.

⭐ Testing

We tested this strategy over the past season of the Italian Serie A (2023-24). Starting from Round 7, we bet £10 on each game where the teams had a point difference of not more than 1.

For the 2023-24 season, we placed bets on 41 games. We won 39% of those bets, making a net profit of £145.50, which is an ROI of 36%.

Results on Serie A 2023-24

To see all the games we bet on, the odds, and which bets won, download the PDF file below:

bet_slips.pdf269.07 KB • PDF File

🚀 Bet Or Regret?

Betting on draws in the Italian Serie A when the two teams are within 1 point apart has worked really well in our tests. We won 39% of our bets and made a very good return of 36% on our money. So, we think you might want to BET following this strategy.

DISCLAIMER: Past results don't guarantee future success. Only bet what you can afford to lose and do your own research too.

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