Europa League Final - Prediction

Who will win it?

Author

Football Strategies
May 21, 2025

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The 2025 UEFA Europa League Final between Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur is poised to be a captivating encounter, with both teams seeking redemption after underwhelming domestic campaigns. Set at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, the match kicks off tonight at 21:00 CET.

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⚽ Match Overview

  • Date & Time: Wednesday, 21 May 2025, 21:00 CET

  • Venue: San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao, Spain

  • Broadcast: TNT Sports (UK)

📊 Team Form & Journey to the Final

Manchester United:

  • Finished 16th in the Premier League, enduring 18 losses.

  • Unbeaten in the Europa League, with notable victories over Real Sociedad, a dramatic comeback against Lyon, and a dominant semi-final performance against Athletic Club.

  • Managed by Ruben Amorim, who could become the third United manager to win a major trophy in his debut season. ESPN.com

Tottenham Hotspur:

  • Concluded the Premier League season in 17th place, suffering 21 defeats.

  • Overcame AZ Alkmaar, Eintracht Frankfurt, and Bodo/Glimt en route to the final.

  • Aiming for their first major trophy since 2008 under manager Ange Postecoglou.

🩺 Team News & Expected Lineups

Tottenham Hotspur:

  • Injuries: James Maddison (knee), Dejan Kulusevski (knee), Lucas Bergvall (ankle), Radu Dragusin (ACL), and Dane Scarlett (hernia) are all sidelined.

  • Expected XI: Vicario; Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Udogie; Bissouma, Bentancur, Sarr; Johnson, Solanke, Son.

Manchester United:

  • Injuries: Lisandro Martínez (knee), Matthijs de Ligt (ankle) are out; Diogo Dalot (calf), Jonny Evans (undisclosed), and Tom Heaton (muscle) are doubtful.

  • Expected XI: Onana; Yoro, Maguire, Shaw; Mazraoui, Casemiro, Ugarte, Dorgu; Fernandes, Garnacho; Højlund.ESPN.com

🔍 Tactical Analysis

  • Tottenham's Approach: Under Postecoglou, Spurs employ an aggressive pressing system, though fatigue has been evident in recent European fixtures. Their high defensive line could be susceptible to United's counterattacks.

  • Manchester United's Strategy: United excel in transitional play, capitalizing on opponents' high lines. However, their vulnerability to set-pieces remains a concern, with nearly 25% of league goals conceded from such situations.

🔮 Predictions & Odds

  • Opta Supercomputer: Slightly favors Tottenham with a 50.3% chance of lifting the trophy.

  • Betting Odds: Manchester United are marginal favorites at 7/5, with Tottenham at 7/4.

  • Expert Predictions:

    • The Sun's supercomputer forecasts a 2-1 victory for Tottenham.

    • TalkSPORT suggests a 1-1 draw, with United prevailing in a penalty shootout.

    • The Telegraph's experts are divided, with predictions ranging from a 3-2 win for United to a 2-1 extra-time victory for Spurs.

🔥 Key Players to Watch

  • Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United): Instrumental in United's European campaign, contributing 19 goals and 19 assists this season.

  • Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspur): Leading Spurs' attack, aiming to cap his decade at the club with silverware.

🏆 Final Thoughts

Despite both teams' domestic struggles, their European journeys have showcased resilience and quality. Tottenham's recent dominance over United, winning all three encounters this season, gives them a psychological edge. However, United's experience in European finals and their unbeaten run in the competition suggest they won't be easy to overcome.

Expect a tightly contested match, potentially extending beyond regular time. While Tottenham's attacking prowess is notable, United's counterattacking capabilities and set-piece threats could prove decisive.