Bet On Over 2.5 Goals In The Premier League

What if we bet on all games where chance of Over 2.5 goals is 50%

Hey Friend,

Are you excited for our new football betting strategy this week? Take a look below!

💡 Strategy

This strategy is very easy to follow. We bet on all English Premier League games where the chance of Over 2.5 Goals is between 45.5% and 50%. This means betting on games where the odds for Over 2.5 Goals are between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5).

Here's how it works:

For each game, if the odds for Over 2.5 Goals are between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5), we bet one unit on Over 2.5 Goals.

Examples from Round 1 of the 2023-24 Premier League Season:

  • Everton vs. Fulham: The odds for Over 2.5 goals in this game are 2.04 (26/25), which is between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5), so we bet on Over 2.5 Goals.

  • Chelsea vs. Liverpool: The odds for Over 2.5 goals in this game are 1.73 (73/100), which is NOT between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5), so we skip this game and do not bet on it.

📈 Stats

On average, about 65% of all games in the Premier League end with Over 2.5 Goals:

Over 2.5 Goals in Premier League

This means betting on Over 2.5 Goals can work well if we avoid most of the games with fewer than 2.5 goals. The idea is to bet only when the odds are between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5). This way, even if we're right only half the time, we can still make a small profit.

⭐ Testing

We tested this strategy over the past season of the English Premier League (2023-24). Starting from Round 1, we bet £10 on each game where the odds for Over 2.5 Goals were between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5)

For the 2023-24 season, we placed bets on 35 games. We won 51% of those bets, making a net profit of £25.20, which is an ROI of 7.2%.

Results in Premier League 2023-24

To see all the games we bet on, the odds, and which bets won, download the PDF file below:

bet_slips.pdf266.33 KB • PDF File

🚀 Bet Or Regret?

Betting on Over 2.5 Goals in the Premier League with odds between 2.0 (1/1) and 2.2 (6/5) worked okay in our tests. We made a small profit, but losing a few more games would have meant we would be losing money. So, you can BET with this strategy if you're okay with the risk and the chance of making only a small profit.

DISCLAIMER: Past results don't guarantee future success. Only bet what you can afford to lose and do your own research too.

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